Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
1–2
FT

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 50% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultColwyn Bay to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.42

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction

The match

Colwyn Bay travel to face Trefelin in the Premier League on Friday 6 November (20:45 WAT). Trefelin are 15th with 6 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Trefelin's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Barry Town 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Colwyn Bay's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Cambrian & Clydach 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Colwyn Bay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 31 July 2026, finished Colwyn Bay 2–0 Trefelin.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Trefelin and 2.2 for Colwyn Bay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Trefelin 0–2 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Trefelin9%fair 10.84 · @6.25
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.33
Colwyn Bay70%fair 1.42 · @1.40
2.87Expected goals
0.69Trefelin xG
2.18Colwyn Bay xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Trefelin 0.7 – 2.2 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColwyn Bay to win ✓70%1.421.40
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✓91%1.101.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.982.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Half-time resultColwyn Bay ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay ✓47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13%7.42–

Form

Trefelin – last 6

LLWWLL
30 Oct@ Barry Town0–3L
23 Octvs Flint Town United0–2L
17 Octvs Llantwit Major4–1W
9 Oct@ Cardiff MET3–1W
3 Oct@ Airbus UK0–3L
26 Sepvs The New Saints1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Colwyn Bay – last 6

WDDWLW
30 Octvs Cambrian & Clydach2–0W
23 Octvs Cardiff MET2–2D
17 Oct@ Buckley Town2–2D
10 Oct@ Flint Town United1–0W
3 Oct@ Briton Ferry0–1L
26 Sepvs Haverfordwest County AFC1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Jul 2026Colwyn Bay v Trefelin2–0
Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

On our numbers Trefelin have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Colwyn Bay 70%.

How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Our predicted score is Trefelin 0–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay?

Trefelin vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.