Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenybont to win ✓41% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Penybont take on Caernarfon Town on Friday 6 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Bryntirion Park. Penybont are 3rd with 36 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Caernarfon Town sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Penybont's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Cardiff MET 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Caernarfon Town's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Airbus UK 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Penybont arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Caernarfon Town 1–2 Penybont.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Penybont and 1.5 for Caernarfon Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penybont 41%, draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.56.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.56. Predicted score: Penybont 1–1 Caernarfon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penybont41%fair 2.41 · @2.34
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Caernarfon Town35%fair 2.87 · @2.64
3.18Expected goals
1.67Penybont xG
1.51Caernarfon Town xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.7 – 1.5 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Penybont have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caernarfon Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
