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Premier League · Wales · Park Hall

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

The New Saints to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultThe New Saints to win ✗71% · @1.30
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction

The match

GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to Park Hall in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October (18:15 WAT) to face The New Saints. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).

Form guide

The New Saints's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Ammanford AFC 9–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 5.2 goals a game.

GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Llandudno 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Across their last 2 meetings The New Saints have won 2, GAP Connah S Quay FC 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for The New Saints and 1.0 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was The New Saints to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

The New Saints71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw16%fair 6.14 · @5.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC13%fair 7.82 · @8.50
3.57Expected goals
2.56The New Saints xG
1.01GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
53%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: The New Saints 2.6 – 1.0 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win ✗71%1.411.30
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultThe New Saints ahead at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints ✗48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Form

The New Saints – last 6

WWWWWW
23 Octvs Ammanford AFC9–0W
16 Oct@ Airbus UK2–1W
9 Oct@ Holywell6–1W
3 Octvs Cambrian & Clydach9–0W
26 Sep@ Trefelin3–1W
19 Sepvs Llandudno2–1W
5.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6

WWWWWW
24 Octvs Llandudno2–0W
16 Octvs Porthmadog4–0W
9 Oct@ Briton Ferry2–1W
3 Octvs Penybont1–0W
26 Sep@ Barry Town4–1W
18 Sepvs Cardiff MET1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026The New Saints v GAP Connah S Quay FC2–1
3 Mar 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC v The New Saints1–2
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

On our numbers The New Saints have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?

The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.