GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.41
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees GAP Connah S Quay FC take on Cardiff MET on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Essity Stadium. GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 38 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Cardiff MET sit 8th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Airbus UK 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cardiff MET's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Flint Town United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for GAP Connah S Quay FC and 1.0 for Cardiff MET. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAP Connah S Quay FC 67%, draw 21%, Cardiff MET 12%.
Safer route: GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GAP Connah S Quay FC to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Cardiff MET. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.70
Cardiff MET12%fair 8.28 · @4.50
3.41Expected goals
2.41GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.00Cardiff MET xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.4 – 1.0 Cardiff MET expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
67%
1.50
1.67 ▲
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WLDWWW
15 Sep
vs Airbus UK
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff MET – last 6
DDWWLL
11 Sep
@ Flint Town United
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
28 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
3–0
W
21 Aug
vs The New Saints
0–5
L
15 Aug
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Cardiff MET.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?
Our pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff MET 12%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Cardiff MET, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Cardiff MET (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
