Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Ammanford AFC vs Penybont preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ammanford AFC take on Penybont on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Ammanford Recreation Ground. Ammanford AFC are 14th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Penybont sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ammanford AFC's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Barry Town 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Penybont's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Briton Ferry 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Penybont arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.6 for Ammanford AFC and 2.2 for Penybont. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ammanford AFC 9%, draw 18%, Penybont 73%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Ammanford AFC 0–2 Penybont. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ammanford AFC9%fair 10.91 · @15.00
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @6.00
Penybont73%fair 1.38 · @1.18
2.83Expected goals
0.64Ammanford AFC xG
2.19Penybont xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–113%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 0.6 – 2.2 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✓
73%
1.38
1.18
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
14%
7.08
–
Form
Ammanford AFC – last 6
DLLLDL
15 Sep
@ Barry Town
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
0–5
L
28 Aug
@ Trefelin
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Penybont – last 6
WWWDDW
15 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Trefelin
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Flint Town United
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Penybont.
What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Penybont 73%.
How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 0–2 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ammanford AFC vs Penybont?
Ammanford AFC vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
