Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓71% · @1.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗9% · fair 10.61
The New Saints vs Barry Town preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees The New Saints take on Barry Town on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Park Hall. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Barry Town sit 7th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Caernarfon Town 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barry Town's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Briton Ferry 4–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.6 for The New Saints and 1.0 for Barry Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 71%, draw 18%, Barry Town 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was The New Saints to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–0 Barry Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Barry Town11%fair 9.18 · @10.00
3.58Expected goals
2.60The New Saints xG
0.98Barry Town xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.6 – 1.0 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
71%
1.41
1.25
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
The New Saints – last 6
WWWWWD
31 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Colwyn Bay
5–1
W
21 Aug
@ Cardiff MET
5–0
W
14 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Penybont
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barry Town – last 6
WWWWWW
31 Aug
@ Briton Ferry
4–1
W
28 Aug
vs Airbus UK
4–2
W
21 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Flint Town United
3–2
W
31 Jul
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Barry Town.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Barry Town?
Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win The New Saints vs Barry Town?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Barry Town 11%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Barry Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Barry Town?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Barry Town?
The New Saints vs Barry Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
