Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenybont to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.03
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction
The match
Colwyn Bay travel to Bryntirion Park in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September (12:30 WAT) to face Penybont. Penybont are 3rd with 36 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Penybont's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Cambrian & Clydach 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Colwyn Bay's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Llandudno 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Colwyn Bay 3–1 Penybont.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Penybont and 1.2 for Colwyn Bay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penybont 47%, draw 22%, Colwyn Bay 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Penybont 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penybont47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Colwyn Bay30%fair 3.29 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.56Penybont xG
1.19Colwyn Bay xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.6 – 1.2 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Penybont have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colwyn Bay 30%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
