GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✗65% · @1.36
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC preview and prediction
The match
GAP Connah S Quay FC host Haverfordwest County AFC in the Premier League on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Essity Stadium. GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 38 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Haverfordwest County AFC sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Flint Town United 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Haverfordwest County AFC's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Trefelin 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
GAP Connah S Quay FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for GAP Connah S Quay FC and 0.9 for Haverfordwest County AFC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAP Connah S Quay FC 65%, draw 22%, Haverfordwest County AFC 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.60
Haverfordwest County AFC13%fair 7.45 · @6.40
2.96Expected goals
2.10GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
0.86Haverfordwest County AFC xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.1 – 0.9 Haverfordwest County AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WWWWWL
31 Aug
@ Flint Town United
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Ammanford AFC
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Trefelin
6–0
W
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6
WLLLLL
31 Aug
vs Trefelin
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–3
L
14 Aug
vs Penybont
0–3
L
7 Aug
@ The New Saints
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Airbus UK
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Haverfordwest County AFC 13%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
