Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction
The match
Colwyn Bay travel to The Oval in the Premier League on Saturday 15 August (17:15 WAT) to face Caernarfon Town. Caernarfon Town are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caernarfon Town's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Penybont 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Colwyn Bay's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Ammanford AFC 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Colwyn Bay 0–2 Caernarfon Town. Across their last 2 meetings Caernarfon Town have won 2, Colwyn Bay 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Caernarfon Town and 1.5 for Colwyn Bay. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caernarfon Town 38%, draw 22%, Colwyn Bay 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caernarfon Town38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.45
Colwyn Bay40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
2.93Expected goals
1.44Caernarfon Town xG
1.49Colwyn Bay xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 1.4 – 1.5 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colwyn Bay 40%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
