Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cardiff MET to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarry Town to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Barry Town vs Cardiff MET preview and prediction
The match
Cardiff MET travel to Jenner Park in the Premier League on Saturday 15 August (12:30 WAT) to face Barry Town. Barry Town are 7th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Cardiff MET sit 8th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Barry Town's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Flint Town United 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Cardiff MET's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Airbus UK 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Barry Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Barry Town and 1.7 for Cardiff MET. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barry Town 44%, draw 20%, Cardiff MET 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Cardiff MET to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Barry Town 1–1 Cardiff MET. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barry Town44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Cardiff MET36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
3.56Expected goals
1.88Barry Town xG
1.68Cardiff MET xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: Barry Town 1.9 – 1.7 Cardiff MET expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barry Town to win✓
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barry Town / FT Barry Town✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Barry Town – last 6
WWLWWW
7 Aug
@ Flint Town United
3–2
W
31 Jul
vs Cambrian & Clydach
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Gloucester City
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Weymouth
3–2
W
14 Jul
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
5–1
W
11 Jul
@ Yate Town
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff MET – last 6
WWLWLL
7 Aug
@ Airbus UK
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Holywell
6–1
W
3 Apr
@ Briton Ferry
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ llanelli AFC
2–1
W
16 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barry Town and Cardiff MET.
What is the prediction for Barry Town vs Cardiff MET?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barry Town vs Cardiff MET?
On our numbers Barry Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cardiff MET 36%.
How many goals will there be in Barry Town vs Cardiff MET?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barry Town vs Cardiff MET?
Our predicted score is Barry Town 1–1 Cardiff MET, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Barry Town vs Cardiff MET?
Barry Town vs Cardiff MET (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Jenner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
