Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✗60% · @1.55
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.68
Penybont vs The New Saints preview and prediction
The match
Penybont host The New Saints in the Premier League on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Bryntirion Park. Penybont are 3rd with 36 points from 15 games (in the top four), while The New Saints sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Penybont's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC Santa Coloma 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
The New Saints's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Flora Tallinn 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
The New Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Penybont and 2.0 for The New Saints. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penybont 17%, draw 22%, The New Saints 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Penybont 0–2 The New Saints. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penybont17%fair 5.73 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.95
The New Saints60%fair 1.66 · @1.55
2.95Expected goals
0.97Penybont xG
1.98The New Saints xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Penybont 1.0 – 2.0 The New Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.68
–
Form
Penybont – last 5
LLLLL
16 Jul
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–3
L
9 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Barry Town
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Colwyn Bay
1–3
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
The New Saints – last 6
WLLLWD
30 Jul
vs Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Flora Tallinn
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
26 Jun
@ H&W Welders
2–1
W
24 Jun
@ Glentoran
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and The New Saints.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs The New Saints?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Penybont vs The New Saints?
On our numbers Penybont have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and The New Saints 60%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs The New Saints?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs The New Saints?
Our predicted score is Penybont 0–2 The New Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs The New Saints?
Penybont vs The New Saints (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
