GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town preview and prediction
The match
GAP Connah S Quay FC host Caernarfon Town in the Premier League on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Essity Stadium. GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 38 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Caernarfon Town sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half).
Form guide
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Ballkani 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Caernarfon Town's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 0–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Caernarfon Town 2–4 GAP Connah S Quay FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for GAP Connah S Quay FC and 1.3 for Caernarfon Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAP Connah S Quay FC 45%, draw 20%, Caernarfon Town 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 Caernarfon Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Caernarfon Town35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
2.87Expected goals
1.54GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
1.33Caernarfon Town xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 1.5 – 1.3 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✗
45%
2.24
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✗
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Caernarfon Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
