Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
FC Porto
Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction & analysis
FC Porto to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vitória SC 0.6 – 2.0 FC Porto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Porto travel as clear favourites – 69% to win, against 10% for Vitória SC.
Vitória SC have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. FC Porto have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. FC Porto come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.6 for Vitória SC, 2.0 for FC Porto). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 0–2 (15%), 0–3 (10%).
Our pick is FC Porto to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Porto to win ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.53 ▲ |
| Double chance | FC Porto or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | FC Porto ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.73 | – |
Form
Vitória SC – last 6
| 2 Nov | @ GIL Vicente | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Maritimo | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Recreativa de Lamelas | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Benfica | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Moreirense | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Academico Viseu | 1–2 | L |
FC Porto – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs Napoli | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Oct | vs Estoril | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Academico Viseu | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | @ GIL Vicente | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs PSV Eindhoven | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | @ Real Betis | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória SC and FC Porto.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 11 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 |  Maritimo | 10 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 11 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | -14 | 2 |
More Primeira Liga predictions
League hub →Estoril
Maritimo
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.25
FT
Santa Clara1
GIL Vicente2
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
65%@1.50
✗
FT
Estrela2
Benfica3
2Benfica to win
73%@1.22
✓
FT
Rio Ave0
SC Braga1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.22
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
Our pick is FC Porto to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
On our numbers Vitória SC have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Porto 69%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
Vitória SC vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.