Primeira Liga · Portugal · Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril

LLDLL
Postponed

Maritimo

LLLWL

Estoril vs Maritimo prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Maritimo to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultEstoril to win48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.58

Win chances

Estoril48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Maritimo30%fair 3.30 · @3.60
2.69Expected goals
1.53Estoril xG
1.15Maritimo xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Estoril 1.5 – 1.2 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Estoril hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 30% for Maritimo.

Estoril have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Maritimo have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Estoril, 1.2 for Maritimo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Maritimo to win at 3.60 is our value angle (30% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstoril to win48%2.102.05
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.651.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%1.991.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.401.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estoril / FT Estoril27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010%9.58–

Form

Estoril – last 6

LLDLLL
31 Oct@ FC Porto0–4L
25 Octvs Moreirense1–3L
18 Oct@ Salgueiros1–1D
10 Oct@ Academico Viseu1–2L
20 Sepvs Casa Pia1–2L
14 Sep@ SC Braga0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Maritimo – last 6

LLLWLD
1 Novvs Santa Clara0–2L
27 Oct@ Sporting CP1–2L
23 Oct@ Vitória SC0–5L
18 Oct@ Alcochetense2–1W
10 Octvs FC Porto1–2L
19 Sep@ GIL Vicente1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Estoril and Maritimo.

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto111100+2233
2Benfica11911+2028
3Sporting CP11731+1324
4Santa Clara11632+821
5Arouca11623+520
6Academico Viseu11623+220
7GIL Vicente11533+218
8SC Braga11524+217
9Moreirense11425-514
10Famalicao11344+113
11Alverca11335-112
12Estrela11245-510
13Nacional11317-810
14Vitória SC11236-19
15Maritimo10226-128
16Casa Pia11227-148
17Rio Ave11218-157
18Estoril10028-142

More Primeira Liga predictions

League hub →
FT Santa Clara1 GIL Vicente2 462331 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✗ FT Vitória SC1 FC Porto2 102169 2FC Porto to win 69%@1.53 ✓ FT Estrela2 Benfica3 82073 2Benfica to win 73%@1.22 ✓ FT Rio Ave0 SC Braga1 92270 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estoril vs Maritimo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Estoril vs Maritimo?

On our numbers Estoril have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maritimo 30%.

How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Maritimo?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Estoril vs Maritimo?

Estoril vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.