Primeira Liga · Portugal

Santa Clara

WLDWD

1–2

GIL Vicente

DLLWD

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente prediction & analysis

65%

Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanta Clara to win ✗46% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42

Win chances

Santa Clara46%fair 2.17 · @2.40

Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10

GIL Vicente31%fair 3.28 · @3.20

2.00Expected goals

1.15Santa Clara xG

0.85GIL Vicente xG

51%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%

0–014%

1–113%

0–112%

2–09%

2–18%

From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.1 – 0.8 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Santa Clara hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 31% for GIL Vicente.

Santa Clara have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. GIL Vicente have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 for Santa Clara, 0.8 for GIL Vicente). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54. For a bigger price, Santa Clara to win at 2.40 is our value angle (46% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Santa Clara to win ✗	46%	2.17	2.40 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.31	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.97	2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	65%	1.54	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.17
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	2.01	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara ✗	24%	4.14	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.42	–

Form

Santa Clara – last 6

WLDWDW

1 Nov	@ Maritimo	2–0	W
26 Oct	vs Benfica	1–2	L
18 Oct	@ Mafra	2–2	D
10 Oct	@ Casa Pia	1–0	W
20 Sep	vs SC Braga	0–0	D
13 Sep	@ Arouca	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

GIL Vicente – last 6

DLLWDW

2 Nov	vs Vitória SC	0–0	D
29 Oct	@ Benfica	1–4	L
24 Oct	vs FC Porto	0–1	L
19 Oct	@ SC Braga	2–1	W
14 Oct	@ União Santarém	2–2	D
9 Oct	@ Moreirense	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and GIL Vicente.

Primeira Liga table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Sporting CP	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Santa Clara	11	6	3	2	+8	21
5	Arouca	11	6	2	3	+5	20
6	Academico Viseu	11	6	2	3	+2	20
7	GIL Vicente	11	5	3	3	+2	18
8	SC Braga	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Moreirense	11	4	2	5	-5	14
10	Famalicao	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Alverca	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Estrela	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Nacional	11	3	1	7	-8	10
14	Vitória SC	11	2	3	6	-1	9
15	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-12	8
16	Casa Pia	11	2	2	7	-14	8
17	Rio Ave	11	2	1	8	-15	7
18	Estoril	10	0	2	8	-14	2

More Primeira Liga predictions

League hub →

Postponed

Estoril

Maritimo 482230 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 FT

Vitória SC1

FC Porto2 102169 2FC Porto to win 69%@1.53 ✓ FT

Estrela2

Benfica3 82073 2Benfica to win 73%@1.22 ✓ FT

Rio Ave0

SC Braga1 92270 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

On our numbers Santa Clara have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and GIL Vicente 31%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.