The Primeira Liga sees Maritimo take on Santa Clara on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Maritimo are 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Clara sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maritimo's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Sporting CP 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Santa Clara's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Benfica 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Clara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Maritimo and 1.5 for Santa Clara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maritimo 27%, draw 23%, Santa Clara 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maritimo 1–1 Santa Clara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maritimo27%fair 3.69 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Santa Clara49%fair 2.02 · @2.20
2.61Expected goals
1.06Maritimo xG
1.55Santa Clara xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Maritimo 1.1 – 1.5 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✓
49%
2.02
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✓
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
Maritimo – last 6
LLWLDL
27 Oct
@ Sporting CP
1–2
L
23 Oct
@ Vitória SC
0–5
L
18 Oct
@ Alcochetense
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs FC Porto
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ GIL Vicente
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Moreirense
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Santa Clara – last 6
LDWDWW
26 Oct
vs Benfica
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Mafra
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs SC Braga
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Arouca
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Rio Ave
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maritimo and Santa Clara.
What is the prediction for Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Maritimo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Clara 49%.
How many goals will there be in Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Maritimo 1–1 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
Maritimo vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.