The Primeira Liga sees Moreirense take on Maritimo on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Moreirense are 9th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Maritimo sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Moreirense's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Benfica 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Maritimo's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Benfica 0–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Maritimo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Moreirense and 1.5 for Maritimo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moreirense 1–1 Maritimo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreirense39%fair 2.58 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Maritimo36%fair 2.79 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.53Moreirense xG
1.47Maritimo xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Moreirense 1.5 – 1.5 Maritimo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense to win✓
39%
2.58
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense / FT Moreirense✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Form
Moreirense – last 6
LLWLDL
9 Sep
vs Benfica
0–4
L
4 Sep
@ FC Porto
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Arouca
0–4
L
9 Aug
vs SC Braga
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Felgueiras 1932
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Maritimo – last 6
LLDWWD
5 Sep
vs Benfica
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Arouca
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Academico Viseu
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Famalicao
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Estrela
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Maritimo.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Maritimo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Moreirense vs Maritimo?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maritimo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Maritimo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Maritimo?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–1 Maritimo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Maritimo?
Moreirense vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
