Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.70
Casa Pia vs FC Porto preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Casa Pia take on FC Porto on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Casa Pia are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while FC Porto sit 1st on 33 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Casa Pia's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Vitória SC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
FC Porto's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Manchester City 0–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Porto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.5 for Casa Pia and 1.8 for FC Porto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Casa Pia 13%, draw 19%, FC Porto 68%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Porto to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Casa Pia13%fair 7.79 · @12.00
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.50
FC Porto68%fair 1.46 · @1.22
2.30Expected goals
0.55Casa Pia xG
1.75FC Porto xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Casa Pia 0.5 – 1.8 FC Porto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Porto to win✓
68%
1.46
1.22
Double chance
FC Porto or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
FC Porto ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Porto / FT FC Porto✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.70
–
Form
Casa Pia – last 6
DLLLLL
6 Sep
@ Vitória SC
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Moreirense
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ GIL Vicente
0–2
L
17 Aug
vs Benfica
0–7
L
8 Aug
@ Maritimo
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Leixoes
2–6
L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Porto – last 6
LWWWWW
8 Sep
vs Manchester City
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Moreirense
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Academico Viseu
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Arouca
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Rio Ave
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Alverca
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casa Pia and FC Porto.
Our pick is FC Porto to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
On our numbers Casa Pia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Porto 68%.
How many goals will there be in Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Our predicted score is Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
Casa Pia vs FC Porto (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
