Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Vitória SC take on Casa Pia on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Vitória SC are 14th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Casa Pia sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitória SC's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to SC Braga 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Casa Pia's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Moreirense 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Vitória SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Guimaraes 0–1 Casa Pia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Vitória SC and 0.5 for Casa Pia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitória SC 69%, draw 21%, Casa Pia 10%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vitória SC to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vitória SC 1–0 Casa Pia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitória SC69%fair 1.44 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.75
Casa Pia10%fair 10.47 · @6.00
2.38Expected goals
1.85Vitória SC xG
0.53Casa Pia xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vitória SC 1.9 – 0.5 Casa Pia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
Our pick is Vitória SC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
On our numbers Vitória SC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Casa Pia 10%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
Our predicted score is Vitória SC 1–0 Casa Pia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vitória SC vs Casa Pia?
Vitória SC vs Casa Pia (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
