Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Santa Clara to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Clara to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceSanta Clara or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Santa Clara take on Rio Ave on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT). Santa Clara are 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Rio Ave sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Santa Clara's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Alverca 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rio Ave's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Sporting CP 0–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Santa Clara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Santa Clara and 0.7 for Rio Ave. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Clara 59%, draw 22%, Rio Ave 20%.
Safer route: Santa Clara or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Santa Clara to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Clara or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Clara59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.20
Rio Ave20%fair 5.06 · @4.40
2.13Expected goals
1.46Santa Clara xG
0.67Rio Ave xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Santa Clara 1.5 – 0.7 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Santa Clara or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Santa Clara – last 6
DWWDWD
29 Aug
@ Alverca
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Academico Viseu
1–0
W
10 Aug
vs Nacional
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Arouca
3–0
W
22 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rio Ave – last 6
LWLLWD
28 Aug
vs Sporting CP
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Estoril
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs FC Porto
0–2
L
9 Aug
@ GIL Vicente
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Tondela
3–1
W
19 Jul
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Clara and Rio Ave.
What is the prediction for Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Our pick is Santa Clara or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers Santa Clara have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rio Ave 20%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
