Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 3.50 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFamalicao to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Famalicao take on GIL Vicente on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão. Famalicao are 10th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while GIL Vicente sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Famalicao's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Santa Clara 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
GIL Vicente's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Casa Pia 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
GIL Vicente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Famalicao and 1.0 for GIL Vicente. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Famalicao 38%, draw 24%, GIL Vicente 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.90.
Value angle: GIL Vicente to win at 3.50 – 38% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Famalicao 1–1 GIL Vicente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Famalicao38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
GIL Vicente38%fair 2.65 · @3.50
2.10Expected goals
1.05Famalicao xG
1.05GIL Vicente xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Famalicao 1.1 – 1.0 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✗
38%
2.64
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
Famalicao – last 6
LLDLWD
23 Aug
@ Santa Clara
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Maritimo
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Estoril
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Como
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Tondela
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Arouca
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente – last 6
WWDDLW
24 Aug
vs Casa Pia
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Rio Ave
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Moreirense
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
11 May
vs Arouca
1–3
L
27 Apr
vs Casa Pia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Famalicao and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers Famalicao have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GIL Vicente 38%.
How many goals will there be in Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is Famalicao 1–1 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Famalicao vs GIL Vicente?
Famalicao vs GIL Vicente (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
