Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Estoril to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstoril to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceEstoril or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Estoril vs Rio Ave preview and prediction
The match
Rio Ave travel to Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 22 August (18:00 WAT) to face Estoril. Estoril are 18th with 2 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Rio Ave sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Estoril's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Nacional 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rio Ave's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to FC Porto 0–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rio Ave arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Estoril 1–2 Rio Ave.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Estoril and 0.7 for Rio Ave. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estoril 60%, draw 23%, Rio Ave 17%.
Safer route: Estoril or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Estoril to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Estoril or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estoril 1–0 Rio Ave. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estoril60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.55
Rio Ave17%fair 5.96 · @3.80
2.27Expected goals
1.59Estoril xG
0.68Rio Ave xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.6 – 0.7 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Estoril or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estoril vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers Estoril have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rio Ave 17%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–0 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Estoril vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
