Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Clara to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara preview and prediction
The match
Santa Clara travel to face Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 15 August (18:00 WAT). Academico Viseu are 6th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Santa Clara sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Academico Viseu's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Benfica 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Santa Clara's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Nacional 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Clara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Academico Viseu and 1.6 for Santa Clara. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Academico Viseu 37%, draw 24%, Santa Clara 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Academico Viseu 1–1 Santa Clara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Academico Viseu37%fair 2.71 · @2.86
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Santa Clara39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
3.21Expected goals
1.59Academico Viseu xG
1.63Santa Clara xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Academico Viseu 1.6 – 1.6 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✓
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
Academico Viseu – last 6
DDLWLW
9 Aug
@ Benfica
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Celta Vigo
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
17 Apr
vs Feirense
3–0
W
11 Apr
@ Penafiel
3–4
L
21 Mar
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Santa Clara – last 6
DWDWWW
10 Aug
vs Nacional
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Arouca
3–0
W
22 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Moreirense
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Paredes
2–0
W
15 Jul
vs Leça
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Academico Viseu and Santa Clara.
What is the prediction for Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Academico Viseu have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Clara 39%.
How many goals will there be in Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Academico Viseu 1–1 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara?
Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
