Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: GIL Vicente to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.89
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave preview and prediction
The match
Rio Ave travel to Estádio Cidade de Barcelos in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 9 August (20:30 WAT) to face GIL Vicente. GIL Vicente are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Rio Ave sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
GIL Vicente's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Moreirense 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rio Ave's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Tondela 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for GIL Vicente and 0.9 for Rio Ave. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GIL Vicente 58%, draw 21%, Rio Ave 20%.
Safer route: GIL Vicente or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: GIL Vicente to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was GIL Vicente or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: GIL Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GIL Vicente58%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.45
Rio Ave20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
2.61Expected goals
1.72GIL Vicente xG
0.89Rio Ave xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: GIL Vicente 1.7 – 0.9 Rio Ave expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✓
58%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.89
–
Form
GIL Vicente – last 6
DDLWDW
25 Jul
vs Moreirense
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
11 May
vs Arouca
1–3
L
27 Apr
vs Casa Pia
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Tondela
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs AVS
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rio Ave – last 6
WDWWLD
1 Aug
vs Tondela
3–1
W
19 Jul
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–2
D
15 Jul
@ Portimonense
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Arouca
2–1
W
11 May
vs Sporting CP
1–4
L
17 Apr
vs AVS
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GIL Vicente and Rio Ave.
What is the prediction for GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
Our pick is GIL Vicente or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
On our numbers GIL Vicente have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rio Ave 20%.
How many goals will there be in GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
Our predicted score is GIL Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave?
GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
