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Bundesliga · Germany · Allianz Arena

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Bayern München to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBayern München to win ✗69% · @1.33
Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.69

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund preview and prediction

The match

The Bundesliga sees Bayern München take on Borussia Dortmund on Saturday 31 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Allianz Arena. Bayern München are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Bayern München's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.

Borussia Dortmund's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Werder Bremen 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Borussia Dortmund 1–2 Bayern München.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Bayern München and 0.9 for Borussia Dortmund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Bayern München to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Bayern München 2–0 Borussia Dortmund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Bayern München69%fair 1.45 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @5.00
Borussia Dortmund11%fair 9.49 · @7.00
3.36Expected goals
2.44Bayern München xG
0.92Borussia Dortmund xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Bayern München 2.4 – 0.9 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayern München to win ✗69%1.451.33
Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Half-time resultBayern München ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayern München / FT Bayern München ✗47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10%9.69–

Form

Bayern München – last 6

WWDWDD
28 Octvs 1. FC Magdeburg6–1W
25 Oct@ SC Freiburg3–1W
21 Octvs Arsenal2–2D
17 Octvs RB Leipzig6–1W
13 Oct@ Viking3–3D
10 Oct@ FC Augsburg2–2D
3.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Borussia Dortmund – last 6

WWWDLD
27 Octvs Werder Bremen3–2W
24 Octvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–0W
20 Oct@ Sabah FA2–1W
17 Oct@ Union Berlin0–0D
14 Oct@ BodoGlimt0–1L
9 Octvs Werder Bremen2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Borussia Dortmund v Bayern München1–2
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern München9630+2021
2Borussia Dortmund9630+921
3SC Freiburg9612+1019
4RB Leipzig9603+1418
5Bayer Leverkusen9513+316
6Werder Bremen9432+215
7SV Elversberg9414-113
8VfB Stuttgart9405012
91899 Hoffenheim9405-112
10Eintracht Frankfurt9333-512
11Hamburger SV9405-1012
12FSV Mainz 059315-110
13SC Paderborn 079243-310
14FC Augsburg923409
151. FC Köln9234-49
16Union Berlin9144-147
17FC Schalke 049135-66
18Borussia Mönchengladbach9117-134

More Bundesliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our pick is Bayern München to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

On our numbers Bayern München have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Borussia Dortmund 11%.

How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–0 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.