Bundesliga · Germany · BayArenaBayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction & analysis
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.3 – 1.3 VfB Stuttgart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bayer Leverkusen hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 20% for VfB Stuttgart.
Bayer Leverkusen have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. VfB Stuttgart have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 for Bayer Leverkusen, 1.3 for VfB Stuttgart). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bayer Leverkusen to win ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Bayer Leverkusen or draw ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen ✗ | 38% | 2.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.74 | – |
Form
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs 1. FC Nürnberg | 5–2 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ 1899 Hoffenheim | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | @ OFI | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Lech Poznan | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ FSV Mainz 05 | 4–3 | W |
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
| 28 Oct | @ SC Paderborn 07 | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Atletico Madrid | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Hamburger SV | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Oct | @ Slovan Bratislava | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ SC Paderborn 07 | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More Bundesliga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfB Stuttgart 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.