Value bet: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Result1. FC Köln to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓6% · fair 15.40
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees 1. FC Köln take on Borussia Mönchengladbach on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at RheinEnergieStadion. 1. FC Köln are 15th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
1. FC Köln's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with FC Viktoria Köln 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with FC St. Pauli 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
1. FC Köln arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 2.5 for 1. FC Köln and 2.1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 84% and both teams to score at 73%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.36, so there is value in it. Predicted score: 1. FC Köln 2–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
1. FC Köln47%fair 2.15 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
Borussia Mönchengladbach33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
4.63Expected goals
2.501. FC Köln xG
2.13Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
73%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–16%
3–26%
1–26%
3–15%
1–15%
From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 2.5 – 2.1 Borussia Mönchengladbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Köln to win✓
47%
2.15
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
1. FC Köln ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
15.40
–
Form
1. FC Köln – last 6
DLDLWW
3 Oct
@ FC Viktoria Köln
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Hamburger SV
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Werder Bremen
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
24 Aug
@ Würzburger Kickers
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6
DLLLLW
3 Oct
@ FC St. Pauli
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs FSV Mainz 05
3–4
L
12 Sep
@ SC Freiburg
0–5
L
5 Sep
vs SV Elversberg
3–4
L
29 Aug
@ RB Leipzig
0–3
L
23 Aug
@ Schott Mainz
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 33%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 2–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at RheinEnergieStadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
