SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
SC Freiburg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Freiburg to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees SC Freiburg take on FC Schalke 04 on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Europa-Park-Stadion. SC Freiburg are 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while FC Schalke 04 sit 17th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SC Freiburg's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat FC Luzern 4–2 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
FC Schalke 04's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Austria Lustenau 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SC Freiburg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for SC Freiburg and 0.9 for FC Schalke 04. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was SC Freiburg to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: SC Freiburg 1–0 FC Schalke 04. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Freiburg61%fair 1.65 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.80
FC Schalke 0420%fair 4.99 · @5.00
2.75Expected goals
1.84SC Freiburg xG
0.91FC Schalke 04 xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 1.8 – 0.9 FC Schalke 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Form
SC Freiburg – last 6
WDWWWW
3 Oct
vs FC Luzern
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
5–0
W
5 Sep
@ SC Paderborn 07
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Werder Bremen
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Motherwell
4–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
WDWDLD
3 Oct
@ Austria Lustenau
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs SV Elversberg
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Union Berlin
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Bayern München
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
0–3
L
24 Aug
@ Hallescher FC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and FC Schalke 04.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Our pick is SC Freiburg to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Schalke 04 20%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 1–0 FC Schalke 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
