Bundesliga · Germany · Weser-StadionWerder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: FC Augsburg to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Werder Bremen 1.8 – 2.0 FC Augsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Werder Bremen have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. FC Augsburg have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. FC Augsburg come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (1.8 for Werder Bremen, 2.0 for FC Augsburg). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.40. For a bigger price, FC Augsburg to win at 2.62 is our value angle (42% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Augsburg to win ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Half-time result | FC Augsburg ahead at half-time ✓ | 35% | 2.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Augsburg / FT FC Augsburg ✗ | 26% | 3.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.67 | – |
Form
Werder Bremen – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ 1. FC Köln | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ SC Freiburg | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Lüneburger SK Hansa | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Auxerre | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs SC Paderborn 07 | 2–2 | D |
FC Augsburg – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs FC Schalke 04 | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Energie Cottbus | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Leeds | 0–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Sassuolo | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More Bundesliga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
On our numbers Werder Bremen have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Augsburg 42%.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
When is Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Weser-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.