Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓65% · @1.31
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV preview and prediction
The match
Borussia Dortmund host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund are 2nd with 21 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Hamburger SV sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Borussia Dortmund's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Bayern München 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hamburger SV's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Verl 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Hamburger SV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.0 for Hamburger SV. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Hamburger SV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Dortmund65%fair 1.54 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.10
Hamburger SV16%fair 6.36 · @9.00
3.28Expected goals
2.26Borussia Dortmund xG
1.03Hamburger SV xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.3 – 1.0 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
65%
1.54
1.31
Double chance
Borussia Dortmund or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
LDWWLL
22 Aug
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Arsenal
3–2
W
1 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
1–0
W
29 Jul
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hamburger SV – last 6
WWDLLW
24 Aug
@ Verl
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Lille
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Everton
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Rapid Vienna
2–3
L
10 May
vs SC Freiburg
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hamburger SV 16%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
