National 1 · France · Stadium Plaine

Thionville Lusitanos

DLLLD
1–0
FT

Cannes

WLWDD

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Cannes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCannes to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceCannes or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.05

Win chances

Thionville Lusitanos13%fair 7.78 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Cannes65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
2.59Expected goals
0.70Thionville Lusitanos xG
1.89Cannes xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%

From our goals model: Thionville Lusitanos 0.7 – 1.9 Cannes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cannes travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 13% for Thionville Lusitanos.

Thionville Lusitanos have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Cannes have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Cannes come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (0.7 for Thionville Lusitanos, 1.9 for Cannes). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Cannes to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCannes to win ✗65%1.531.75 ▲
Double chanceCannes or draw ✗87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
Half-time resultCannes ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cannes / FT Cannes ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.05–

Form

Thionville Lusitanos – last 6

DLLLDL
29 Oct@ Amiens1–1D
17 Octvs Versailles1–2L
3 Oct@ Le Puy Foot0–1L
26 Sepvs La Roche VF1–2L
19 Sep@ Fleury 911–1D
12 Sepvs Rouen0–4L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cannes – last 6

WLWDDD
31 Octvs Valenciennes2–1W
17 Oct@ Villefranche1–2L
3 Octvs Quevilly3–1W
26 Sep@ Orleans0–0D
17 Sep@ Bastia1–1D
10 Sepvs Amiens0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Thionville Lusitanos and Cannes.

More National 1 predictions

FT Aubagne0 Amiens2 132463 X2Amiens or draw 87%@1.20 ✓ FT Bourg-en-bresse 011 Le Puy Foot1 221860 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Caen1 Versailles0 352044 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT Concarneau2 Fleury 910 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓ FT Gobelins0 La Roche VF1 372340 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Rouen2 Bastia0 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Villefranche0 Quevilly2 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

Our pick is Cannes to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

On our numbers Thionville Lusitanos have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cannes 65%.

How many goals will there be in Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes?

Thionville Lusitanos vs Cannes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Plaine.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.