National 1 · France · Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny

Aubagne

LLLWL
0–2
FT

Amiens

DDWDW

Aubagne vs Amiens prediction & analysis

87%
Footrivo pick

Amiens or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Amiens to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultAmiens to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceAmiens or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.77

Win chances

Aubagne13%fair 7.85 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Amiens63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
2.27Expected goals
0.60Aubagne xG
1.67Amiens xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–117%
0–214%
0–010%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%

From our goals model: Aubagne 0.6 – 1.7 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Amiens travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 13% for Aubagne.

Aubagne have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Amiens have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. Amiens come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.3 goals (0.6 for Aubagne, 1.7 for Amiens). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (17%), 0–2 (14%), 0–0 (10%).

Our pick is Amiens or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is better than our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Amiens to win at 1.75 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmiens to win ✓63%1.581.75 ▲
Double chanceAmiens or draw ✓87%1.151.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Amiens / FT Amiens ✓39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.77–

Form

Aubagne – last 6

LLLWLL
31 Oct@ Versailles0–4L
17 Octvs Le Puy Foot0–1L
3 Oct@ La Roche VF1–3L
26 Sep@ Fleury 912–1W
19 Sep@ Rouen0–1L
12 Sepvs Concarneau1–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Amiens – last 6

DDWDWD
29 Octvs Thionville Lusitanos1–1D
17 Oct@ Valenciennes1–1D
3 Octvs Villefranche3–0W
26 Sep@ Quevilly1–1D
19 Sepvs Orleans2–0W
10 Sep@ Cannes0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Amiens.

More National 1 predictions

FT Bourg-en-bresse 011 Le Puy Foot1 221860 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Caen1 Versailles0 352044 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT Concarneau2 Fleury 910 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓ FT Gobelins0 La Roche VF1 372340 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Rouen2 Bastia0 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Thionville Lusitanos1 Cannes0 132265 2Cannes to win 65%@1.75 ✗ FT Villefranche0 Quevilly2 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Amiens?

Our pick is Amiens or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Aubagne vs Amiens?

On our numbers Aubagne have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Amiens 63%.

How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Amiens?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Aubagne vs Amiens?

Aubagne vs Amiens (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.