National 1 · France · Stade Guy Piriou

Concarneau

LDWDW
2–0
FT

Fleury 91

DWWLD

Concarneau vs Fleury 91 prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultConcarneau to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17

Win chances

Concarneau45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Fleury 9133%fair 3.05 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.41Concarneau xG
1.15Fleury 91 xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Concarneau 1.4 – 1.1 Fleury 91 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Concarneau hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for Fleury 91.

Concarneau have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Fleury 91 have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Concarneau, 1.1 for Fleury 91). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Concarneau have won 1, Fleury 91 have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.38.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConcarneau to win ✓45%2.222.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Concarneau / FT Concarneau ✓25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.17–

Form

Concarneau – last 6

LDWDWW
31 Oct@ Rouen1–2L
17 Octvs Bastia1–1D
3 Octvs Gobelins2–1W
26 Sep@ Bourg-en-bresse 011–1D
19 Sepvs Caen2–0W
12 Sep@ Aubagne2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Fleury 91 – last 6

DWWLDW
31 Octvs Gobelins1–1D
17 Oct@ Bourg-en-bresse 011–0W
3 Octvs Caen3–2W
26 Sepvs Aubagne1–2L
19 Sepvs Thionville Lusitanos1–1D
12 Sep@ Valenciennes2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Fleury 91 v Concarneau0–4

More National 1 predictions

FT Aubagne0 Amiens2 132463 X2Amiens or draw 87%@1.20 ✓ FT Bourg-en-bresse 011 Le Puy Foot1 221860 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Caen1 Versailles0 352044 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT Gobelins0 La Roche VF1 372340 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Rouen2 Bastia0 632512 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Thionville Lusitanos1 Cannes0 132265 2Cannes to win 65%@1.75 ✗ FT Villefranche0 Quevilly2 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

On our numbers Concarneau have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fleury 91 33%.

How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

Concarneau vs Fleury 91 (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.