National 1 · France · Stade Robert Diochon

Rouen

WLWLW
2–0
FT

Bastia

WDDLD

Rouen vs Bastia prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRouen to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61

Win chances

Rouen63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Bastia12%fair 8.19 · @4.33
2.47Expected goals
1.79Rouen xG
0.68Bastia xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Rouen 1.8 – 0.7 Bastia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Rouen are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 12% for Bastia.

Rouen have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Bastia have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Rouen, 0.7 for Bastia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRouen to win ✓63%1.601.67
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓88%1.141.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.33
Half-time resultRouen ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rouen / FT Rouen ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.61–

Form

Rouen – last 6

WLWLWW
31 Octvs Concarneau2–1W
17 Oct@ Gobelins1–3L
3 Octvs Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
24 Sep@ Caen2–3L
19 Sepvs Aubagne1–0W
12 Sep@ Thionville Lusitanos4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bastia – last 6

WDDLDW
31 Octvs Quevilly2–0W
17 Oct@ Concarneau1–1D
1 Octvs Orleans1–1D
26 Sep@ Gobelins0–1L
17 Sepvs Cannes1–1D
12 Sep@ Bourg-en-bresse 011–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Bastia.

More National 1 predictions

FT Aubagne0 Amiens2 132463 X2Amiens or draw 87%@1.20 ✓ FT Bourg-en-bresse 011 Le Puy Foot1 221860 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓ FT Caen1 Versailles0 352044 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗ FT Concarneau2 Fleury 910 452233 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓ FT Gobelins0 La Roche VF1 372340 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓ FT Thionville Lusitanos1 Cannes0 132265 2Cannes to win 65%@1.75 ✗ FT Villefranche0 Quevilly2 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rouen vs Bastia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Rouen vs Bastia?

On our numbers Rouen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bastia 12%.

How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Bastia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Rouen vs Bastia?

Rouen vs Bastia (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.