Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Granada to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGranada to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceGranada or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Granada vs Eibar W preview and prediction
The match
Eibar W travel to Ciudad Deportiva del Granada in the Primera División Femenina on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT) to face Granada. Granada are 11th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Eibar W sit 9th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Granada's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat FC Levante Badalona W 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Eibar W's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Sevilla W 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eibar W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Granada and 0.7 for Eibar W. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Granada 57%, draw 24%, Eibar W 20%.
Safer route: Granada or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Granada to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Granada or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Granada 1–0 Eibar W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Granada57%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.10
Eibar W20%fair 5.07 · @3.40
2.20Expected goals
1.48Granada xG
0.72Eibar W xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Granada 1.5 – 0.7 Eibar W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Granada to win✗
57%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Granada or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Granada / FT Granada✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.12
–
Form
Granada – last 6
WLLWLL
26 Sep
@ FC Levante Badalona W
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Deportivo de La Coruña W
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés W
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Real Sociedad W
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Madrid CFF W
1–3
L
31 May
@ Real Madrid W
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eibar W – last 6
WWLDWW
27 Sep
@ Sevilla W
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Athletic Club W
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs FC Levante Badalona W
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Real Madrid W
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Espanyol W
1–0
W
31 May
vs Edf Logrono W
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Granada and Eibar W.
Our pick is Granada or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Granada vs Eibar W?
On our numbers Granada have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Eibar W 20%.
How many goals will there be in Granada vs Eibar W?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Granada vs Eibar W?
Our predicted score is Granada 1–0 Eibar W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Granada vs Eibar W?
Granada vs Eibar W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva del Granada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
