Primera División Femenina · Spain · Estadi Johan CruyffBarcelona W vs Real Madrid W prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Barcelona W 2.9 – 1.3 Real Madrid W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barcelona W are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 12% for Real Madrid W.
Barcelona W have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 4.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Real Madrid W have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Barcelona W come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.2 goals (2.9 for Barcelona W, 1.3 for Real Madrid W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
In their last 3 meetings, Barcelona W have won 3, Real Madrid W have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.7 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.05 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barcelona W to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.11 |
| Double chance | Barcelona W or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.60 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.08 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Half-time result | Barcelona W ahead at half-time ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W ✓ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.26 | – |
Form
Barcelona W – last 6
| 30 Sep | @ Roma W | 6–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Edf Logrono W | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | vs Paris FC W | 5–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Deportivo Alavés W | 6–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Atletico Madrid W | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Sevilla W | 4–0 | W |
Real Madrid W – last 6
| 1 Oct | @ Manchester City W | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Real Sociedad W | 5–3 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Paris Saint Germain W | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Valencia W | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | @ Deportivo de La Coruña W | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Eibar W | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 2 Apr 2026 | Barcelona W v Real Madrid W | 6–0 |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Real Madrid W v Barcelona W | 0–3 |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Real Madrid W v Barcelona W | 2–6 |
Primera División Femenina table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona W | 10 | +36 | 27 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid W | 10 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid W | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Madrid CFF W | 10 | -5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Athletic Club W | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Espanyol W | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Granad. Tenerife W | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad W | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Eibar W | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Deportivo de La Coruña W | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Granada | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Edf Logrono W | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Sevilla W | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Alavés W | 9 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  FC Levante Badalona W | 10 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 |  Valencia W | 10 | -11 | 6 |
More Primera División Femenina predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?
On our numbers Barcelona W have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Madrid W 12%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W?
Barcelona W vs Real Madrid W (Primera División Femenina) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Johan Cruyff.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.