Value bet: Real Madrid III to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Ávila to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III preview and prediction
The match
Real Ávila host Real Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Real Ávila are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Real Madrid III sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Real Ávila's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Unionistas de Salamanca 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Madrid III's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Conquense 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Real Ávila and 0.8 for Real Madrid III. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Ávila 45%, draw 22%, Real Madrid III 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Real Madrid III to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Real Ávila 1–1 Real Madrid III. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Ávila45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Real Madrid III33%fair 3.07 · @3.30
1.75Expected goals
0.99Real Ávila xG
0.76Real Madrid III xG
53%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Real Ávila 1.0 – 0.8 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Ávila to win✗
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Real Ávila – last 6
DLLDLW
29 Oct
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Atlético Paso
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Real Valladolid II
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Numancia
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ SS Reyes
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Madrid III – last 6
LDDDLL
25 Oct
vs Conquense
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Atlético Tordesillas
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Guadalajara
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Atlético Paso
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ A Madrid III
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Ávila and Real Madrid III.
What is the prediction for Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III?
On our numbers Real Ávila have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid III 33%.
How many goals will there be in Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III?
Our predicted score is Real Ávila 1–1 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III?
Real Ávila vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
