Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Navalcarnero or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Navalcarnero to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNavalcarnero to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceNavalcarnero or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.62
Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso preview and prediction
The match
Navalcarnero host Atlético Paso in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Navalcarnero are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Atlético Paso sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Navalcarnero's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Numancia 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Atlético Paso's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Cordoba 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Navalcarnero and 0.8 for Atlético Paso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Navalcarnero 65%, draw 21%, Atlético Paso 14%.
Safer route: Navalcarnero or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Navalcarnero to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Navalcarnero or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Navalcarnero 1–0 Atlético Paso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Navalcarnero65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.20
Atlético Paso14%fair 7.10 · @4.00
2.69Expected goals
1.93Navalcarnero xG
0.76Atlético Paso xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.9 – 0.8 Atlético Paso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Navalcarnero or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Navalcarnero ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.62
–
Form
Navalcarnero – last 6
WDDDWW
24 Oct
@ Numancia
3–2
W
18 Oct
@ Salamanca UDS
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Recreativo Huelva
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs A Madrid III
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ RSD Alcalá
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Real Murcia
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlético Paso – last 6
WWDLWD
27 Oct
vs Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Real Ávila
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Conquense
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Real Madrid III
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Albacete II
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Atlético Paso.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Our pick is Navalcarnero or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlético Paso 14%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–0 Atlético Paso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso?
Navalcarnero vs Atlético Paso (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
