Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Guadalajara or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Guadalajara to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceGuadalajara or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.67
Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II preview and prediction
The match
Guadalajara host Real Valladolid II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Guadalajara are 9th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Real Valladolid II sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Guadalajara's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Atlético Tordesillas 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Real Valladolid II's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Real Ávila 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Guadalajara and 0.9 for Real Valladolid II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guadalajara 65%, draw 22%, Real Valladolid II 13%.
Safer route: Guadalajara or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Guadalajara to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guadalajara 2–0 Real Valladolid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.40
Real Valladolid II13%fair 7.87 · @3.80
3.21Expected goals
2.26Guadalajara xG
0.95Real Valladolid II xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.3 – 0.9 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara to win✗
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Guadalajara or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Guadalajara – last 6
LWDDLW
18 Oct
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Getafe II
4–1
W
7 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
3–3
D
27 Sep
@ Numancia
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs RSD Alcalá
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Valladolid II – last 6
WDWLWL
18 Oct
vs Real Ávila
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Calvo Sotelo
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Albacete II
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara and Real Valladolid II.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?
Our pick is Guadalajara or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?
On our numbers Guadalajara have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Valladolid II 13%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara 2–0 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II?
Guadalajara vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
