Value bet: Conquense to win @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultConquense to win ✓50% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.56
Real Madrid III vs Conquense preview and prediction
The match
Real Madrid III host Conquense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Real Madrid III are 11th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Conquense sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Real Madrid III's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with RSD Alcalá 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Conquense's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Atlético Paso 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Conquense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Real Madrid III 0–1 Conquense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.8 for Real Madrid III and 1.3 for Conquense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid III 27%, draw 24%, Conquense 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Conquense to win at 2.30 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Madrid III 1–1 Conquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid III27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Conquense50%fair 2.02 · @2.30
2.14Expected goals
0.85Real Madrid III xG
1.29Conquense xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 0.8 – 1.3 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Conquense 50%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–1 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Real Madrid III vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
