Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Guadalajara or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Guadalajara to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadalajara to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceGuadalajara or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Guadalajara take on Gimnástica Segoviana on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Guadalajara are 9th with 13 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Gimnástica Segoviana sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guadalajara's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Numancia 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gimnástica Segoviana's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat SS Reyes 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Guadalajara and 1.1 for Gimnástica Segoviana. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Value angle: Guadalajara to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guadalajara or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guadalajara 2–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.30
Gimnástica Segoviana16%fair 6.16 · @3.60
3.43Expected goals
2.32Guadalajara xG
1.11Gimnástica Segoviana xG
56%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.3 – 1.1 Gimnástica Segoviana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Guadalajara or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Guadalajara – last 6
LWLLWL
27 Sep
@ Numancia
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs RSD Alcalá
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Salamanca UDS
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ Marchamalo
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Osasuna II
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnástica Segoviana – last 6
WLLWLL
26 Sep
vs SS Reyes
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ RSD Alcalá
2–5
L
13 Sep
vs Conquense
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Calvo Sotelo
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Real Madrid III
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Leganés II
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara and Gimnástica Segoviana.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our pick is Guadalajara or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
On our numbers Guadalajara have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gimnástica Segoviana 16%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara 2–1 Gimnástica Segoviana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Guadalajara vs Gimnástica Segoviana (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
