Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid III to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Paso host Real Madrid III in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT). Atlético Paso are 15th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Real Madrid III sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atlético Paso's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Albacete II 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Real Madrid III's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to A Madrid III 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Atlético Paso and 1.0 for Real Madrid III. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Paso 33%, draw 23%, Real Madrid III 44%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Paso 0–0 Real Madrid III. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Paso33%fair 3.00 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Real Madrid III44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
1.79Expected goals
0.80Atlético Paso xG
0.99Real Madrid III xG
40%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atlético Paso 0.8 – 1.0 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid III to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.03
–
Form
Atlético Paso – last 6
DLDLDW
27 Sep
@ Albacete II
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs A Madrid III
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Numancia
0–2
L
10 May
@ Herbania
1–1
D
3 May
vs Las Palmas III
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Madrid III – last 6
LDDWLW
27 Sep
@ A Madrid III
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ CF Talavera
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Albacete II
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
3 May
vs Conquense
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Paso and Real Madrid III.
What is the prediction for Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
On our numbers Atlético Paso have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Madrid III 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
Our predicted score is Atlético Paso 0–0 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III?
Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
