Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Ávila to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceReal Ávila or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Real Ávila take on Calvo Sotelo on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT). Real Ávila are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Calvo Sotelo sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real Ávila's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Navalcarnero 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Calvo Sotelo's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Atlético Paso 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Calvo Sotelo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Real Ávila and 0.6 for Calvo Sotelo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Ávila 67%, draw 20%, Calvo Sotelo 13%.
Safer route: Real Ávila or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Ávila to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Ávila 1–0 Calvo Sotelo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Ávila67%fair 1.49 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.80
Calvo Sotelo13%fair 7.76 · @4.00
2.46Expected goals
1.83Real Ávila xG
0.63Calvo Sotelo xG
40%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Real Ávila 1.8 – 0.6 Calvo Sotelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Ávila to win✓
67%
1.49
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Real Ávila or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Real Ávila ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Ávila / FT Real Ávila✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.41
–
Form
Real Ávila – last 6
LLWWLL
13 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ A Madrid III
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
3 May
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
0–4
L
26 Apr
@ Racing Santander II
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
DLWWDW
13 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Tarancón
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Pedroñeras
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Sonseca
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Ávila and Calvo Sotelo.
What is the prediction for Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our pick is Real Ávila to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
On our numbers Real Ávila have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Calvo Sotelo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
Our predicted score is Real Ávila 1–0 Calvo Sotelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo?
Real Ávila vs Calvo Sotelo (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
