Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Conquense to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultConquense to win ✓59% · @1.95
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Conquense vs Salamanca UDS preview and prediction
The match
Conquense host Salamanca UDS in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Conquense are 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Salamanca UDS sit 2nd on 19 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Conquense's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Gimnástica Segoviana 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Salamanca UDS's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Derio 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Conquense and 1.1 for Salamanca UDS. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Value angle: Conquense to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Conquense or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Conquense 2–1 Salamanca UDS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Conquense59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Salamanca UDS17%fair 6.01 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.15Conquense xG
1.10Salamanca UDS xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Conquense 2.1 – 1.1 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✓
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Conquense or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Conquense – last 6
WDLLDW
13 Sep
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Getafe II
2–2
D
31 May
vs UD Ourense
0–2
L
24 May
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
17 May
vs Xerez
0–0
D
3 May
@ Real Madrid III
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
DWDWLL
16 Sep
@ Derio
3–3
D
12 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Caudal
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Guadalajara
3–2
W
26 Aug
@ Atlético Astorga
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
0–5
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Conquense or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Conquense vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Conquense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salamanca UDS 17%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Conquense 2–1 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Salamanca UDS?
Conquense vs Salamanca UDS (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.