Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultXerez to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceXerez or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Xerez vs Don Benito preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Xerez take on Don Benito on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Xerez are 6th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Don Benito sit 2nd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Xerez's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Badajoz 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Don Benito's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Las Palmas II 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Don Benito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Xerez and 0.6 for Don Benito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xerez 60%, draw 26%, Don Benito 14%.
Safer route: Xerez or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Xerez to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xerez 1–0 Don Benito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xerez60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Don Benito14%fair 7.25 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.61Xerez xG
0.64Don Benito xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Xerez 1.6 – 0.6 Don Benito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Xerez or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xerez / FT Xerez✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Form
Xerez – last 6
LDDDWD
13 Sep
vs Badajoz
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Estepona
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Portuense
0–0
D
17 May
@ Conquense
0–0
D
3 May
vs Ucam Murcia
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Xerez Deportivo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Don Benito – last 6
WWWWWW
13 Sep
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuaga
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Gévora
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez and Don Benito.
Our pick is Xerez to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Xerez vs Don Benito?
On our numbers Xerez have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Don Benito 14%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez vs Don Benito?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez vs Don Benito?
Our predicted score is Xerez 1–0 Don Benito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Xerez vs Don Benito?
Xerez vs Don Benito (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
