Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1
Value bet: Badajoz to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBadajoz to win ✗46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Badajoz vs Real Betis II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Badajoz take on Real Betis II on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Badajoz are 4th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Real Betis II sit 5th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Badajoz's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Xerez 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Real Betis II's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Antoniano 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Badajoz and 0.9 for Real Betis II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Badajoz 46%, draw 21%, Real Betis II 33%.
Value angle: Badajoz to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Badajoz 1–0 Real Betis II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Badajoz46%fair 2.18 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
Real Betis II33%fair 2.99 · @2.40
2.13Expected goals
1.19Badajoz xG
0.94Real Betis II xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.2 – 0.9 Real Betis II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Badajoz to win✗
46%
2.18
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badajoz / FT Badajoz✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.10
–
Form
Badajoz – last 6
WWDWDW
13 Sep
@ Xerez
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Cuarte
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Cuarte
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Moralo
0–0
D
31 May
@ Moralo
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Betis II – last 6
DWLWWW
13 Sep
vs Antoniano
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Las Palmas II
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Sabadell
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Hércules
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Real Betis II.
What is the prediction for Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Betis II 33%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–0 Real Betis II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
Badajoz vs Real Betis II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
