Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · SpainMijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena prediction & analysis
Ciudad de Lucena to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mijas Las Lagunas 1.0 – 1.7 Ciudad de Lucena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ciudad de Lucena shade it despite being away from home – 54% to win, against 24% for Mijas Las Lagunas.
Mijas Las Lagunas have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Ciudad de Lucena have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Ciudad de Lucena come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.0 for Mijas Las Lagunas, 1.7 for Ciudad de Lucena). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%).
Our pick is Ciudad de Lucena to win at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.05 is better than our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ciudad de Lucena to win ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 2.05 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena ✗ | 32% | 3.09 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.22 | – |
Form
Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Puente Genil | 0–4 | L |
| 10 May | @ Granada II | 4–4 | D |
| 26 Apr | @ Huétor Tájar | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs UD Melilla II | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Apr | @ Motril | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | vs Arenas Armilla | 0–1 | L |
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Linares Deportivo | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | vs Dos Hermanas | 2–1 | W |
| 3 May | @ Cádiz II | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | @ Sevilla III | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Apr | vs Linense | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Mar | @ Recreativo Huelva | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mijas Las Lagunas and Ciudad de Lucena.
Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Don Benito | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Badajoz | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Real Betis II | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Xerez | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estepona | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Atlético Central | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Sevilla Atletico | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Linares Deportivo | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Puente Genil | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sanluqueño | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tenerife II | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Marbella | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Antoniano | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tamaraceite | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Las Palmas II | 10 | -13 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Our pick is Ciudad de Lucena to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
On our numbers Mijas Las Lagunas have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ciudad de Lucena 54%.
How many goals will there be in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Ciudad de Lucena (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.