Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDon Benito to win ✓41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Don Benito vs Las Palmas II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Don Benito take on Las Palmas II on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT). Don Benito are 2nd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Las Palmas II sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Don Benito's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Antoniano 2–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Las Palmas II's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Real Betis II 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Don Benito arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Don Benito and 1.1 for Las Palmas II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Don Benito 41%, draw 24%, Las Palmas II 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Don Benito 1–1 Las Palmas II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Don Benito41%fair 2.45 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Las Palmas II35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
2.23Expected goals
1.18Don Benito xG
1.06Las Palmas II xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Don Benito 1.2 – 1.1 Las Palmas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Don Benito to win✓
41%
2.45
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Don Benito / FT Don Benito✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
Don Benito – last 6
WWWWWD
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuaga
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Gévora
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Calamonte
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Las Palmas II – last 6
LDWLLL
6 Sep
vs Real Betis II
0–1
L
3 May
@ Socuéllamos
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Orihuela
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Getafe II
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Real Madrid III
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Don Benito and Las Palmas II.
What is the prediction for Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
On our numbers Don Benito have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Palmas II 35%.
How many goals will there be in Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
Our predicted score is Don Benito 1–1 Las Palmas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
Don Benito vs Las Palmas II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.