Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
Castellón II host Lorca Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Castellón II are 3rd with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Lorca Deportiva sit 8th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Castellón II's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Orihuela 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Lorca Deportiva's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Castellonense 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Castellón II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Castellón II and 1.0 for Lorca Deportiva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Castellón II 46%, draw 21%, Lorca Deportiva 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Castellón II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellón II46%fair 2.15 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Lorca Deportiva33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
2.25Expected goals
1.26Castellón II xG
0.99Lorca Deportiva xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Castellón II 1.3 – 1.0 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón II to win✓
46%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón II / FT Castellón II✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Castellón II – last 6
WWWLLW
26 Sep
@ Orihuela
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Valencia II
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Alcoyano
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Terrassa
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
29 Aug
@ Reddis
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
WDLDLL
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Intercity
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Águilas
0–1
L
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón II and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Castellón II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lorca Deportiva 33%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Castellón II 1–1 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Castellón II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
