Elche II host Ucam Murcia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:15 (WAT). Elche II are 16th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Ucam Murcia sit 2nd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Elche II's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Yeclano 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ucam Murcia's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Intercity 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Elche II and 1.2 for Ucam Murcia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Elche II 32%, draw 21%, Ucam Murcia 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Elche II 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Elche II32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Ucam Murcia47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
2.13Expected goals
0.91Elche II xG
1.22Ucam Murcia xG
55%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Elche II 0.9 – 1.2 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✓
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.92
–
Form
Elche II – last 6
LWLDWL
27 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Peña Deportiva
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Cieza
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
3 May
vs Quintanar del Rey
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
LWWLLL
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
3 May
@ Xerez
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Real Jaén
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elche II and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Elche II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ucam Murcia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Elche II 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Elche II vs Ucam Murcia?
Elche II vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
